High performance computer scaling

Saw this list as part of the proceedings of ISC'24 (https://www.isc-hpc.com):

Year ComputerScaleGap (years)
2022 Frontier Exascale 14
2008 RoadrunnerPetascale12
1996 ASCII RedTerascale11
1985 Cray-2Gigascale19
1964 CDC 6600Megascale (3 Mflops)

For the longest time I used to think the gap was around 15 years, but seems to be a tad lower. More importantly, the gap is more variable than I thought. In turn, this makes timing the advent of zettascale somewhat harder to predict.

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